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We believe Aquila Resources (TSX:AQA; OTCQB:AQARF) is worth C$0.36/sh based on applying a 0.60x multiple to our initial NAVPS10% estimate of C$0.60/sh. Aquila is developing the high-margin Back Forty Au-Zn-Cu project in Michigan and is poised for a re-rating as it transitions from developer to producer. Additionally, the FCF expected from this project once in production, is likely to attract mid-tier producers looking to bolster their balance sheets and production profiles. We believe investors stand to benefit from the ongoing transition from developer to producer, as manifested by project de-risking with the potential to be taken out at a substantial premium to the current share price in the medium-term.
Aquila released a positive permitting update, as one of the legal challenges for its permits was dismissed. While the legal challenge of permits is normal course in the U.S., this result acts as another positive step to advancing Back Forty towards production. We view Aquila as an undervalued take-out candidate on the verge of a re-rating through the development of the high-margin Back-Forty polymetallic project; the backdrop of a tightening commodities market should underpin the strategic value.
Aquila has received its wetlands, lakes and streams permit from the Michigan Department of Environmental Quality and has now received all the major permits required for construction and commencement of operations at the Back Forty Project in Michigan.
Aquila continues to work towards receiving the company’s final permit, the wetland/stream/floodplain permit, in order to commence construction at Back Forty.
We updated the look & feel of our RCKS Talk Research Blog in March 2018.
To access the historical archives of our original blog format, please click on the link(s) below to be re-directed. Please note that we no longer update those archive blog pages.
Click here to access the RCKS Talk Blog Archive for Aquila Resources Inc. (TSX:AQA)
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